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Crude oil is measured in barrels, which are each equivalent to 42 U.S. gallons.

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Signal from Iran: sell gold, buy dollar - what's next for oil

Currently, all major markets in the world, forex, oil, gas, metals are influenced solely by the news from Iran. After the announcement of negotiations and a 2-week truce, there was a sharp decrease in the price of oil and the dollar, as well as a sharp increase in the price of gold. We at World-Signals are closely following the news about Iran and the Strait of Hormuz - a key one for the world at the moment. The war will not end, Israel continues to attack at an accelerated pace. This means a very quick return of the price of oil to levels for Brent above $110. Buy dollars and sell gold, this is profitable in the next few hours, and very likely days.

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Russia Returns to the U.S. Dollar - Gold Plunges

Russia is moving back toward the U.S. dollar in a development that has shaken global markets within minutes of the announcement.

According to an internal document, the Kremlin is prepared to re-engage broadly with the dollar in international transactions. The document indicates that Russia is seeking renewed cooperation with the United States across several sectors, particularly in fossil fuels. This shift comes amid intensified pressure from President Trump on countries purchasing Russian oil, significantly increasing the geopolitical and economic stakes.

The market reaction was immediate and severe.

Gold prices collapsed by more than $150 in less than ten minutes following the news. Oil prices also declined sharply, falling nearly $2 on the day.

Prior to the announcement, gold had been trading in a consolidation range around $5,070. As of February 12 at 11:30 AM EST, gold was trading near $4,940 and continued sliding sharply, briefly reaching $4,878 in the aftermath of the news.

The abrupt move highlights the sensitivity of precious metals to geopolitical realignments and currency shifts, particularly when involving major global powers such as Russia and the United States.

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Change in Gold Signal Format (Metal Service)

Gold trading signals will now be provided in whole numbers only, without cents. This change is due to the significant rise in gold prices, where price movements below $1 occur very rapidly and are no longer practically actionable.

As a result, signal formatting will be adjusted as follows:

Example: Buy Gold @ 5230 SL 5215 TP 5254

This update is intended to improve clarity, execution speed, and overall usability of the signals under current market conditions.

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Change in Reporting Units for the Metals Market (Effective January 1, 2026)

Starting January 1, 2026, results for the Metals market will be reported directly in U.S. dollars.

Until now, a price movement of 1 USD in gold was recorded by us as 100 pips. Due to the significant increase in gold prices, pip-based reporting has become impractical. For this reason, we are transitioning to direct dollar-based reporting.

Under the new system, every $1 profit or loss in the price of gold will be recorded as +1.0 or -1.0, respectively.

Example: We open the following position: Buy Crude Oil @ 4400.00 SL: 4392.00 TP: 4411.50

If the position closes at take profit, the recorded result will be +11.5. Until the end of 2025, the same price movement was recorded as +1150.

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Happy New Year - 2026

May 2026 bring you clarity in decisions, resilience in markets, and long-term financial success. Thank you for being with us.

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German Industrial Production Surges, but the Euro Remains Under Pressure

Today's Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) data for October surprised to the upside, showing a strong increase of 1.8%, compared to expectations of -0.4% and a previous reading of 1.1%. This marks one of the strongest monthly performances of the year, indicating renewed stabilization in Europe's largest economy.

The indicator, released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland, is a key measure of the health of the manufacturing and mining sectors-core drivers of the German economy. Typically, higher industrial production is considered positive for the euro, signaling better growth prospects within the Eurozone.

Market Reaction - A Brief Spike Followed by Reversal

Immediately after the release, the euro jumped approximately 20 pips against the US dollar. However, the move was short-lived. During the European morning session, the USD regained all losses and strengthened further, pushing EUR/USD back toward 1.1650, with continued bearish momentum on the single currency.

This price action suggests that investors remain unconvinced that a single positive data point is enough to change the broader negative outlook for the Eurozone.

Geopolitical Pressure and Investor Sentiment

Market sentiment today was influenced not only by economic indicators but also by political commentary. Recent criticism of the European Union by Elon Musk and Donald Trump-including claims that the EU should "return to nation-states"-has added to investor caution regarding European assets.

Although such remarks do not directly affect short-term indicators, they contribute to a broader environment of skepticism toward the Eurozone's long-term stability.

World-Signals Outlook for EURUSD

According to World-Signals, the euro is likely to remain under pressure in the coming days. Expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut toward the end of the year are currently viewed by markets as a supportive factor for the US dollar, signaling continued resilience in the American economy.

Given this backdrop, a move in EURUSD toward 1.1700 appears unlikely in the near term. Instead, USD strength is expected to dominate, with potential for the pair to test lower levels if negative sentiment toward the Eurozone persists.

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